DIAMONDS AND GEMS

DEMAND WILL EXCEED SUPPLY

Few opportunities to invest in sparkling diamond sector

Diversified majors dominate production and only a few pure diamond companies are producing yet.

Author: Tessa Kruger
Posted:  Wednesday , 23 May 2007

Johannesburg - 

Diamond prices and sales are booming, but investors who want to participate directly in this sparkling industry are left with few choices.

In a recent research report produced to tie in with their Diamond Day in London last week, RBC Capital Markets analyst, Des Kilalea reckons that diamond demand is likely to remain robust for several years, but at the same time he predicts that mine supply of newly mined gem-quality diamonds is likely to diminish over the next three to five years as no major new mines are scheduled to come into production. 

Kilalea also noted that there are only a small number of investment opportunities in the global diamond industry. This is because major diversified producers account for the majority of diamond production and only four companies account for 50% of the $10 billion total market cap of pure diamond stocks.

Kilalea said there were about 100 diamond companies in the world and ten of these companies accounted for two-thirds of the $10 billion total market cap. 

Top of the investment list, in terms of market capital, is Aber Diamond (ABZ - TSX ) worth $2.6billion, Gem Diamonds (GEMD - LSE) at $1,341billion, Shore Gold  (SGF  - TSX) at $872m, Petra Diamonds (PDL - LSE) at $543m and Sierra Leone Diamonds (SLD - LSE )at $333m, according to RBC estimates and the latest share information.

There are only a few diamond companies with a significant market capitalisation producing diamonds yet. Aber Diamond (ABZ CN) annually receives about 3m carats valued at $350m from its share of Diavik mine's production. It owns 40% of the mine in Canada's Northwest Territories.

Gem Diamonds' current production is valued at $85 million, Petra's production will generate $27 million this year and Shore Gold is yet to produce. The only other producers of any size are Kimberley and South African alluvial producer Trans Hex, said Kilalea.

The majority of listed diamond producers, excluding Petra, Gem, Trans Hex and Aber, account for less than 500 000 carats of the 160m carats of annual global diamond production.

Diversified majors BHP Billiton, Anglo American and Rio Tinto, Russian producer Alrosa and small non-listed companies produce all but 500,000 to 650,000 carats of total diamond production.

"Clearly, the market is placing a high value on the prospectivity of many of these companies," he added.

Opportunities to invest will become even more scarce as consolidation in the junior mining and exploration sector continues in future.

Three diamond companies, Xceldiam, Southern Era and BDI Mining, have been bid for this year and further consolidation is expected - in part by majors - who want to expand their exploration portfolios. 

Top 10 investible diamond companies by Market Cap

Company Name

Stock code

Market Cap (US$Mn)

Aber Diamond

TSX: ABZ

2220

Gem Diamonds

LSE: GEMD

1246

Shore Gold

TSX: SGF

859

Petra Diamonds

LSE: PDL

579

Sierra Leone Diamonds

LSE: SLD

324

Mountain Province Diamonds

TSX: MPV

269

Kimberley Diamond

ASX: KIM

260

Legend International

OTC: LGDI

221

Trans Hex

JSE: TSX

192

African Diamonds

AIM: AFD

183

 

 

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